The inverted Bund yields continued this week with the negative 2-year/10-year yield spread at negative 49.6 basis points compared to 49.2 basis points last week. As a result, today’s simulation shows ...

The probability of the inverted yield curve ending by February 9, 2024, is 32.8%, compared to 20.4% last week. There is a 23.4% probability of negative 3-month bill rates by February 5, 2027. The ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...