The yield curve, which looks at the spread between the 10-year treasury note and the year bill, has been an excellent predictor of coming recessions since 1960, with ...
An international team of mathematicians, led by Lehigh statistician Taeho Kim, has introduced an innovative method that could significantly improve how scientists make predictions, especially in ...
Researchers have created a prediction method that comes startlingly close to real-world results. It works by aiming for strong alignment with actual values rather than simply reducing mistakes. Tests ...