The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 16 on a 52-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its NFL betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

There was one glaring omission for the Commanders: left tackle Laremy Tunsil. Tunsil has started all but one game for the Commanders after coming over in a trade. He's been dominant as a pass blocker, earning an 88.9 pass blocking grade from Pro Football Focus, which is No. 2 in the NFL for offensive tackles with 200 or more pass blocking snaps.